Decentralization and expected time in office. The effect of decentralization on cabinet durability
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Decentralization and expected time in office. The effect of decentralization on cabinet durabilityData
2020Cita bibliográfica
Bodea, A. & Sánchez Santos, J.M. (2020). Decentralization and expected time in office. The effect of decentralization on cabinet durability. Online Journal Modelling The New Europe, 33, 46-69. 10.24193/OJMNE.2020.33.03
Resumo
[Abstract]: The objective of this study is to analyze the role played by both fiscal and political decentralization as
determinants of the expected time in office, understood as the latent (unobservable) durability of the cabinets.
Using data for all the EU member states for the period that spans from 2007 up to 2017 and employing two
competing survival analysis models, namely Weibull (parametric) and Cox (semiparametric), the results show
that, even after controlling for other relevant variables (such as majority in legislative, the number of parties in
government, the range between the most distant positions in coalition, etc.), decentralization (either fiscal or
political) seem to be insignificant over the expected time in office of the cabinets. To the best of our knowledge
there is only one study that focused on testing this kind of relationships, but which only considered the case of
regional parties with portfolio positions (thus losing sight of the very important “supply and confidence
agreements”). The originality of this works stems from the fact that we are more inclusive and that we employ
new data and new variables that are more appropriate for framework of European politics, dominated by the
anti-EU and populist debates, since the Great Recession of 2008.
Palabras chave
Decentralization
Cabinet Durability
European Union
Cabinet Durability
European Union
Versión do editor
Dereitos
Atribución 3.0 España
ISSN
2247-0514