Multivariate Analysis of Defensive Phase in Football: Identification of Successful Behavior Patterns of 2014 Brazil FIFA World Cup
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Multivariate Analysis of Defensive Phase in Football: Identification of Successful Behavior Patterns of 2014 Brazil FIFA World CupAuthor(s)
Date
2021-07-01Citation
Journal of Human Sport and Exercise. 2021, 16(3): 503-516. https://doi.org/10.14198/jhse.2021.163.03
Abstract
[Abstract] The aim of this study was to identify variables associated with direct recovery of the ball during defensive transitions in elite soccer and to propose a model with certain guarantees of success based on a multivariate analysis in which binary logistic regression was used to explore interaction between variables. 1,722 defensive transitions were analysed in the final stages of the FIFA World Cup 2014 in Brazil and investigated the following variables: duration of defensive transition; possession loss zone; position of players at the start and end of the defensive transitions, defensive organization, general defensive approach, period of the match, position of defence line, zone in which the offensive transition ends, match status, and outcome of the defensive transition. The variables found to significantly associated with ball recovery were the area of the pitch in which the ball is lost prior to the transition (p < .05), the duration of the transition (p < .01), the position of the defence lines (p < .01), the zone in which the transition ends (p < .001) and end spatial interaction configuration (p < .001). The model that provided the best guarantees of recovering possession was characterized by a defensive transition lasting 15 seconds or less that ends in the holding midfield with the attacking team under pressure.
Keywords
Elite football
Match analysis
Observational methodology
Defensive transitions
Logistic regression
Fútbol de élite
Análisis de partido
Metodología observacional
Transiciones defensivas
Regresión logística
Fútbol de elite
Análise de partido
Metodoloxía observacional
Transicións defensivas
Regresión loxística
Match analysis
Observational methodology
Defensive transitions
Logistic regression
Fútbol de élite
Análisis de partido
Metodología observacional
Transiciones defensivas
Regresión logística
Fútbol de elite
Análise de partido
Metodoloxía observacional
Transicións defensivas
Regresión loxística
Editor version
Rights
Atribución-NoComercial-SinDerivadas 4.0 Internacional
ISSN
1988-5202